{"id":4280,"date":"2020-10-15T17:38:38","date_gmt":"2020-10-15T17:38:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/9thstreetjournal.org\/?p=4280"},"modified":"2023-03-27T15:52:55","modified_gmt":"2023-03-27T15:52:55","slug":"fayetteville-house-race-heats-up-democrat-outraises-incumbent-by-600000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/9thstreetjournal.org\/2020\/10\/15\/fayetteville-house-race-heats-up-democrat-outraises-incumbent-by-600000\/","title":{"rendered":"Fayetteville House race heats up, Democrat outraises incumbent by $600,000"},"content":{"rendered":"

With less than three weeks until Election Day, it’s game on for candidates in North Carolina\u2019s most competitive congressional district.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

For the second time this year, Democratic challenger Pat Timmons-Goodson raised significantly more money than her opponent, according to the latest Federal Election Commission filings. She raked in nearly $1.8 million in contributions between July 1 and Sept. 30 with the vast majority \u2014 nearly $1.7 million \u2014 coming from individual donors.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Republican incumbent Rep. Richard Hudson brought in just over $1.1 million, with more than $660,000 from party committees and PACs. Timmons-Goodson had previously outraised him during the second quarter filing period by about $517,000.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The Democrat shelled out more money than she raised, spending upwards of $1.8 million\u00a0 in the third quarter. She\u2019s left with $612,000 in cash on hand.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hudson spent almost $1.4 million this quarter. But in contrast to his opponent, he still has more than $1.5 million in cash on hand heading into the race\u2019s final stretch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Timmons-Goodson confirmed her financial haul <\/span>on Twitter<\/span><\/a> over a week before the FEC released official numbers. Hudson\u2019s campaign did not release numbers before the Oct. 15 deadline, which perhaps foreshadowed his surprisingly low numbers.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cPeople who give money to campaigns invest smartly,\u201d said Chris Cooper, a professor of political science at Western Carolina University. \u201cSo the fact that she can put up those kinds of numbers says that there\u2019s, at least, kind of a proof of concept\u2014an idea that\u2019s possible.\u201d Now, for Timmons-Goodson, it\u2019s a matter of turning those dollars into votes, he added.<\/span><\/p>\n

The gap in fundraising isn\u2019t the only reason to think things are tightening up in the 8th Congressional District, which stretches from Charlotte\u2019s eastern suburbs through Fayetteville and Cumberland County. Here\u2019s why this race could still be up for grabs:<\/span><\/p>\n

Advertising is heating up \u2014 and voters are noticing<\/h2>\n

Yard signs and mailers and ads, oh my!\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s getting aggressive with the advertising here,\u201d said George Breece, an Army veteran and former state representative who lives in Fayetteville. He said he gets three to four mailers a week (some that are \u201cas big as a damn car\u201d), receives political phone calls and gets inundated with ads on radio and TV.<\/span><\/p>\n

Both candidates spent more than $1.1 million on digital, radio and TV advertising, according to the most recent FEC filings. Factoring in mailers would bump the total even higher.<\/span><\/p>\n

It\u2019s typical for campaigns to advertise more as the election draws closer, Cooper said. But when there\u2019s exponential growth in the amount of ad spending, that\u2019s a sign of a competitive race.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIt has been and remains the most competitive district in the state,\u201d he said of the 8th District.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2018Judge Softie\u2019: Hudson releases first attack ad against Timmons-Goodson<\/h2>\n

Hudson\u2019s <\/span>latest ad<\/span><\/a> brands Timmons-Goodson as \u201csoft on crime\u201d and assigns her the pejorative moniker \u201cJudge Softie.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

After opening on a photograph of the Democrat in judicial robes behind a court bench, the ad\u2019s female narrator alleges Timmons-Goodson \u201clet a man walk free who stole half a million dollars from his church\u201d and \u201copposed putting tracking bracelets on sex offenders because it would \u2018add to their shame.\u2019\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cTimmons-Goodson \u2014 too soft on crime, too liberal for Congress,\u201d coos the narrator near the end of the video.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Hudson\u2019s campaign manager Robert Andrews told The 9th Street Journal in August that the campaign would focus its energy on Hudson\u2019s accomplishments rather than attacking his Democratic opponent.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cPeople always want to see going on the attack, or that sort of thing,\u201d Andrews said in that August interview. \u201cThat’s not the deal right now. We just want to make sure that folks know who Richard Hudson is, especially in those new parts of the district.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrews did not return phone calls seeking clarification on the change in tactics, but the shift likely means Hudson\u2019s campaign views the race as more competitive than originally thought.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cHudson running attack ads is a sign that it’s possible that he could lose, and that he thinks that,\u201d Cooper said. \u201cThere’s no need to get in the ditch if you don’t have to.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Toss-up territory? \u2018Lean Republican\u2019 rating subject to change, national analysts say<\/h2>\n

As soon as the legislature released new congressional maps in 2019, Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball <\/span>changed Hudson\u2019s rating<\/span><\/a> from \u201csafe Republican\u201d to \u201clikely Republican.\u201d The new maps, which axed Republican-heavy Rowan County and added the rest of Cumberland County, made the 8th District competitive for the first time since Hudson unseated Democrat Larry Kissel in 2012.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Now ranked as \u201clean Republican,\u201d the 8th District is the only seat in North Carolina from either party that\u2019s ranked as anything other than \u201csafe\u201d or \u201clikely.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cBack in \u201808, the only seat that flipped in North Carolina \u2014 it was a Republican to Democrat flip \u2014 was in the 8th District when Larry Kissel beat Robin Hayes,\u201d said Miles Coleman, associate editor of Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball. \u201cIt could well be the only seat that flips again.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Coleman said he agreed with Cooper that the 8th District is the most competitive congressional race in the state. In order to move it to \u201ctoss-up,\u201d he and his colleagues Kyle Kondik and Larry Sabato would want to see public polling that shows Timmons-Goodson ahead, or statewide polling that shows Biden ahead, which could hint at a wave election. Both have emerged in recent weeks.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cOn election night, when I’m watching the results come in, the first district I’m going to look at in North Carolina is going to be district eight,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

At top, incumbent Richard Hudson and Pat Timmons-Goodson are vying for the 8th Congressional District. Photos from their campaigns.<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

With less than three weeks until Election Day, it’s game on for candidates in North Carolina\u2019s most competitive congressional district.\u00a0 For the second time this…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3840,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[19,135,208,240,279,280],"class_list":["post-4280","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-2020-election","tag-election-2020","tag-pat-timmons-goodson","tag-richard-hudson","tag-u-s-congress","tag-u-s-house","entry"],"yoast_head":"\nFayetteville House race heats up, Democrat outraises incumbent by $600,000<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"For a second time, Democratic challenger Pat Timmons-Goodson raised significantly more money than her opponent, Rep. 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