{"id":4064,"date":"2020-09-23T08:43:22","date_gmt":"2020-09-23T08:43:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/9thstreetjournal.org\/?p=4064"},"modified":"2023-08-17T15:47:07","modified_gmt":"2023-08-17T15:47:07","slug":"republicans-need-senior-voters-but-trump-is-pushing-them-away","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/9thstreetjournal.org\/2020\/09\/23\/republicans-need-senior-voters-but-trump-is-pushing-them-away\/","title":{"rendered":"Republicans need senior voters, but Trump is pushing them away"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy has good reason to worry about senior voters in North Carolina.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">McCarthy <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/republicans-mail-in-voting-trump-a75b7b58-6405-4840-a48f-e26caf72b0fc.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">told Axios<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that he spent hours telling President Trump his <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2020\/08\/28\/906676695\/ignoring-fbi-and-fellow-republicans-trump-continues-assault-on-mail-in-voting\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">unfounded attacks on mail-in voting<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> could not only doom the president\u2019s re-election, but also imperil Republicans running for Congress.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The House Minority Leader said that he\u2019s particularly concerned about losing the senior vote, which <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/are-older-voters-turning-away-from-trump\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">historically leans right<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. \u201cI tried to show [Trump] \u2026 you know who is most afraid of COVID? Seniors. And if they\u2019re not going to go vote, period, we\u2019re screwed,\u201d McCarthy said.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">A new 9th Street Journal tally of absentee ballot requests from the North Carolina Board of Elections shows why McCarthy is so concerned. Democratic voters older than 65 have requested nearly twice as many ballots (13,319) as their Republican counterparts (7,007), according to the data available on Sept. 14.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-4065 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.duke.edu\/9thstreetjournal\/files\/2020\/09\/Senior-Voters-1024x661.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"767\" height=\"495\" \/>The numbers also show that Republicans account for 36% of the state\u2019s voters who are older than 65, but only 23% of the absentee ballot requests for that age group. Meanwhile, Democrats represent 40% of the state\u2019s senior voters and 44% of voters older than 65 who have requested ballots.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Unaffiliated senior voters, who account for 24% of all senior voters, have requested 32% of the ballots.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">As McCarthy feared, Trump\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/8c5db90960815f91f39fe115579570b4\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">repeated<\/span><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politifact.com\/article\/2020\/sep\/13\/trumps-falsehoods-about-mail-voting-nevada-fact-ch\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">attacks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> on mail-in voting seem to be having an impact \u2014 particularly with Republicans. A <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wral.com\/poll-one-third-of-nc-voters-have-doubts-about-voting-by-mail\/19292965\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">WRAL poll<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> last week found a third of likely North Carolina voters have little to no confidence that votes cast by mail will be counted correctly. The sentiment varied by party: While 42% of Republicans and and 39% of Independents said that they had little to no confidence in the mail-in voting process, only 28% of Democrats felt the same way.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Republicans usually depend on senior voters, who voted <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/are-older-voters-turning-away-from-trump\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">55% to 42%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> for Trump over Hillary Clinton in 2016.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">People over the age of 65 make up 23% of the statewide electorate. In the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/newsroom\/blogs\/random-samplings\/2017\/05\/voting_in_america.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">2016<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/library\/stories\/2019\/04\/behind-2018-united-states-midterm-election-turnout.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">2018<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> elections, they had the highest voter turnout compared with other age groups.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">But COVID-19 has re-written the expectations for 2020: Adults ages 65 years old and above are the most vulnerable to the virus, representing <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/coronavirus\/2019-ncov\/need-extra-precautions\/older-adults.html#:~:text=Risk%20for%20Severe%20Illness%20Increases%20with%20Age&amp;text=Similarly%2C%20people%20in%20their%2060s,those%20aged%2085%20or%20older.\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">eight out of every 10<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> coronavirus-related deaths in the U.S. People in this age group may decide it\u2019s in their best interest to stay home and mail in their ballots. But Trump\u2019s repeated attacks on absentee balloting might discourage his older supporters from voting at all.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Republicans can still overcome the disparity in mail-in balloting by getting people to vote in person. Early voting starts Oct. 15 and Election Day is Nov. 3.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Terri Benforado, a 57-year-old Durham resident who plans to vote for Trump, said that she and her husband, who is over 65 years of age and also supports Trump, will vote early in person.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Benforado said that she has always casted her ballot at an early voting site, and this year will be no different. She also volunteers as a poll worker on Election Day. She\u2019s not concerned about potential health risks due to the coronavirus, which she said are exaggerated by Democrats and the left-leaning media.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cI think there\u2019s a risk, but there\u2019s not a risk to my husband and I,\u201d Benforado said. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Staff writer Rose Wong can be reached at rosanna.wong@duke.edu<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Assistance with data analysis was provided by Joel Luther of the Duke Reporters&#8217; Lab; graphic by Henry Haggart of The 9th Street Journal<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy has good reason to worry about senior voters in North Carolina.\u00a0 McCarthy told Axios that he spent hours telling President&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[19,135,136,186,262],"class_list":["post-4064","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections-2022","tag-2020-election","tag-election-2020","tag-elections","tag-mail-in-voting","tag-state-board-of-elections","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - 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